Read my NYT column on a little appreciated Datapoint for investors.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Monday, January 6, 2014
Two Numbers: The Housing Market Breathes Under Water
Read my Newsweek column on the housing market recovery. The surprising thing is that for all the strong activity and price gains of 2013, one in five Americans with a mortgage still owe more to the bank than their home is worth. The housing recovery has a long way to go!
Sunday, December 29, 2013
Placing Odds on your Health (and Its Cost)
Read my Datapoints column in today's New York Times. The really important point in shopping for health insurance is understanding your risks of incurring big bills. That information is difficult for individuals to figure out.
(and neither the government or health insurers are making it any easier)
What Americans could use is an
individual assessment of risk based on health history, age, and other relevant factors.
We know that it can be done, at least to some degree, since in past years health
insurers studied their data to figure out who was likely to have big expenses
in order to deny them coverage. Health insurers are not making that data readily available,
though.
For now, Milliman’s estimates which I use as the basis for my NYT column can provide a rough guide. Here's the table Milliman provided. Perhaps in the
future we’ll see better ways to help Americans become savvy health care shoppers.
The Risk
of Incurring Various Amounts of Health Expense in a Year, Without Health Insurance.
Source: Milliman Inc
|
(1)
|
(2)
|
|
Trended
|
Percentage of
|
|
Total
|
Adults (under 65) with
|
|
Annual
|
Claims Greater
|
|
Claim
|
than Column 1
|
|
(Rounded)
|
(Rounded)
|
|
$0
|
93%
|
|
$100
|
90%
|
|
$500
|
80%
|
|
$900
|
70%
|
|
$1,700
|
60%
|
|
$2,700
|
50%
|
|
$4,300
|
40%
|
|
$7,300
|
30%
|
|
$13,300
|
20%
|
|
$26,800
|
10%
|
|
$47,300
|
5%
|
Friday, December 27, 2013
Two Numbers: The Coming US Retirement Crisis
Read my Newsweek column on how prepared we are for retirement. It's scarier than you think.
Monday, December 16, 2013
Two Numbers: the Rich are getting Richer Faster
Read my latest Newsweek piece. By one measure, at least, inequality is growing at a faster rate.
Monday, December 9, 2013
Bitcoins from Heaven
Bitcoins are traded on unregulated markets and open to manipulation. Read my piece in Newsweek.
Friday, November 29, 2013
Why health insurance is a crummy deal most of the time
Read my Newsweek piece on shopping for health insurance
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